Following Kavanaugh Hearing Midterm Election Polls Take Sharp Turn


Following Kavanaugh Hearing Midterm Election
Polls Take Sharp Turn Finally, people are starting to wake up. It seems like after the unfair shenanigans
that the Democrats tried to pull with the nomination of Judge Brett Kavanaugh, people
have woken up and are fired up to deliver a red wave in next month’s midterm elections. Polls are saying there has been a sharp uptick
in Republican interest in all five states surveyed. In contrast to early September,
the number of Republicans feeling “extremely” interested in the upcoming election is up
by 2 points in Arizona, up by 9 points in Indiana, up 8 points in both Missouri and
North Dakota, and up 11 points in Tennessee. In each of these states, Republicans are now
just as likely as Democrats to say they are extremely interested. Just a few months ago
this wasn’t the case. Republicans weren’t as likely to get out and vote as Democrats
were. But thanks to the Democrats and their obvious witch-hunt against an innocent man,
Kavanagh, that’s now changed. This is all very encouraging although the
races are far from settled since only one of the Senate candidates has a lead outside
the survey’s margin of sampling error. And that same candidate is also the only front-runner
above the important marker of 50 percent support from their electorate. So the right still
needs to get out and vote in November unless they want a Democrat takeover of the Senate. Here is more via Fox News: “Arizona “Democrat Kyrsten Sinema tops Republican
Martha McSally by a 47-45 percent margin in the Senate race to fill the open seat of retiring
Republican Sen. Jeff Flake. Last month, Sinema was up 47-44 percent (September 8-11).
“Sinema is helped by strong backing among women (+9 points), voters under age 45 (+14)
and Hispanics (+29). She also enjoys greater party loyalty, as 91 percent of Democrats
back her vs. 83 percent of Republicans for McSally. “However, McSally’s overall support is
stronger, with 83 percent of her backers saying they are certain to vote for her compared
to 71 percent of Sinema’s. “Veterans prefer McSally, a retired Air
Force pilot, by a 25-point margin. In addition, she leads among white voters (+5) and voters
over age 45 (+4). “The two candidates are about equally liked.
For Sinema, 48 percent have a favorable opinion vs. 41 percent unfavorable. For McSally, it’s
46-45 percent. “President Trump won Arizona by nearly four
percentage points in 2016. That’s in line with his current job rating, as 51 percent
of the state’s likely voters approve, while 47 percent disapprove. “Indiana “Democratic incumbent Joe Donnelly tops
Republican challenger Mike Braun by two points (43-41 percent), while Libertarian Lucy Brenton
takes 6 percent. Eight percent are undecided. “That’s a reversal from early September,
when Braun had a two-point edge (45-43 percent). “Men are more likely to back Braun by a
9-point margin, while women pick Donnelly by 11. “Voters with a college degree support Donnelly
by 10 points, while those without a degree go for Braun by 3 points. “Strength of support is about equal: 77
percent of Braun’s backers say they are certain to vote for him. It’s 74 percent
for Donnelly. “If Donnelly votes against Kavanaugh, 30
percent say it would make them more likely to vote for him, 32 percent say less likely,
and 34 percent say no difference. “The Democrat announced he would vote against
Kavanaugh on September 28, after Senate Judiciary Committee hearings that included testimony
by Christine Blasey Ford on her sexual assault allegations against Kavanaugh. “While Trump beat Hillary Clinton by 19
points in Indiana, today Hoosier voters approve of his job performance by just 6: 52 percent
approve, while 46 percent disapprove. “Missouri “The Missouri Senate race is all tied up
at 43 percent apiece for incumbent Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill and Republican challenger
Josh Hawley, while other candidates garner 8 percent and six percent are undecided. Three
weeks ago, McCaskill was up 44-41 percent (September 8-11).
“The survey also finds the race tied, 46-46 percent, in a hypothetical two-way matchup. “Suburban women (+15 points) and voters
under age 45 (+6) are more likely to back McCaskill. “The gender gap is somewhat diminished,
as McCaskill’s advantage among women stands at 4 points, down from 9 points last month. “Hawley has the edge among men (+5 points)
and rural voters (+22). “About three-quarters of both McCaskill’s
(75 percent) and Hawley’s supporters (74 percent) feel certain they will back their
candidate. “McCaskill announced she would vote against
Kavanaugh September 19, a week before Kavanaugh and Ford testified. “Among the 28 percent of voters who say
they could still switch candidates, almost twice as many say McCaskill voting against
Kavanaugh’s confirmation would make them less inclined to back her. “In general, voters have mixed views of
both McCaskill (48 favorable vs. 48 unfavorable) and Hawley (47-45 percent). “The president remains popular in the Show-Me
State: a majority of 54 percent approves of the job Trump is doing, while 45 percent disapprove.
He won Missouri by 19 points. “North Dakota “Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp is one of
the most vulnerable Senate Democrats this year, along with Missouri Sen. Claire McCaskill
and Indiana Sen. Joe Donnelly. “The survey shows Heitkamp may be in the
most difficult position, as Republican challenger Kevin Cramer now leads by 12 points (53-41
percent). Last month, he was up by four (48-44 percent).
“The shift comes mainly from declines in support for Heitkamp among women (was up by
7 points, now trails by 4), and voters with a college degree (was up by 7, now trails
by 8). “More Democrats back Heitkamp (94 percent)
than Republicans back Cramer (87 percent), but in a state so red that Trump won by nearly
40 points, that isn’t enough. “Strength of support is also with Cramer.
Nearly 9 in 10 (87 percent) of his supporters are sure of their vote, compared to 8 in 10
Heitkamp backers (79 percent). “Heitkamp remains undecided on Kavanaugh.
If she votes against his confirmation, twice as many say they would be less likely (34
percent) rather than more likely (17 percent) to vote for her. “By a 64-35 percent margin, likely voters
approve of the president. That 29-point spread comes close to matching his 36-point margin
of victory in 2016. “Meanwhile, Republican Kelly Armstrong (51
percent) leads Democrat Mac Schneider (34 percent) by 17 points for the state’s only
House seat, which Cramer vacated to run for Senate. “Tennessee “The president held a rally Monday in Johnson
City, Tennessee. He won the state by 26 points, and voters there still love him. Likely voters
in the Volunteer State approve of Trump’s job performance by 60-39 percent. “That helps put Republican Marsha Blackburn
ahead of Democrat Phil Bredesen by a 48-43 percent margin. Blackburn’s 5-point advantage
is inside the poll’s margin of error. “Last month, she had a 3-point edge over
Bredesen. They are competing for the seat being vacated by retiring Republican Sen.
Bob Corker. “Women go for Bredesen by 5 points, while
men are more likely to pick Blackburn by 17. Among white men, her lead grows to 30 points. “Bredesen stays in the game by garnering
greater party loyalty (92 percent of Democrats back him compared to 82 percent of GOP for
her), while also taking 10 percent of Republicans. “About the same share of Bredesen (79 percent
certain) and Blackburn (77 percent) supporters say they are certain to vote for them. “Plus, roughly equal numbers have a positive
view of both Blackburn (50 favorable vs. 41 unfavorable) and Bredesen (51-39 percent),
who served as Tennessee’s governor from 2003 to 2011. “Governor Pollpourri “In the Arizona governor’s race, Republican
incumbent Doug Ducey leads: 55 percent vs. 37 percent for Democrat David Garcia. One
in five of Sinema’s supporters (20 percent) split their ballot and back the Republican,
Ducey, for governor. “By a 17-point margin, Tennessee likely
voters back Republican Bill Lee (53 percent) over Democrat Karl Dean (36 percent) in the
state’s gubernatorial race. Fourteen percent of those backing Bredesen in the Senate race
defect to support Lee, the Republican, for governor.” As you can see these numbers are still way
too close for comfort. And Republicans tend to like to stay home on election day. But
if they do get out and vote it will send a clear and loud message to the left to stop
shenanigans like what they have been doing to Judge Kavanagh and also to President Trump.
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Comments

  1. Breaking News: The serial sexual offender just can't stay away from alcohol can he. Do we really need a sexual offender and drunk on the supreme court? We've already got Clarence Thomas.

  2. Enjoy your time now because come next month you will not have that seat because you, trump, pence will all be impeached because you all have lied to congress and to the world and we are not going to tolerate it any more

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