Democrats are in deep trouble — even if Hillary Clinton wins


The Democratic Party is in much greater peril
than its leaders or its supporters recognize, and it has no plan to save itself. It’s true, it seems like the Republican party
that’s in crisis, with its very extreme, very unusual candidate. And pollsters believe the presidency is more
likely than not to stay Democratic. But that all hides something more important: Since Obama was elected in 2008, The Democratic
Party has been obliterated at the state level. And they have no plan to make up the gap. So let’s rewind to Obama’s election. You can see the map looks a lot more blue
right? Back then democrats fully controlled 20 state
governments. Now this is a current map of state legislatures. And 4 of those 12 states where democrats control
both houses? They have Republican governors. That means democrats control only have total
control in 8 states. For the 23 states with unified Republican
control, that’s meant an unprecedented wave of restrictions on abortion. The spread of anti-union “right to work”
laws into once pro-Union territory. Redrawing districts and making it tougher
to vote, tilting the electorate on balance richer, whiter, older. And large scale layoffs of teachers and other
public sector workers who are likely to support Democrats. Now to be fair to the Democrats, it isn’t
new for the party in the White House to lose states. Obama & the Democrats have lost 68 house seats,
11 senate seats, 10 governorships, and 15 state legislatures since he became president. But every two-term president has seen these
numbers because of what’s called wave elections – a backlash to continued control by one
party. And you can see that pretty clearly in this
chart of state control – the country turned strongly against democrats in 1994, 2 years
into Bill Clinton’s tenure, and turned strongly for them during the latter half of George
W. Bush’s administration. But one problem is that continuing to keep
the presidency will make a wave election to rebuild Democrats on the state level highly
unlikely this November. Or the next election in 2018 – by that time
political scientists would expect more of a wave against them if they stay incumbent. But another problem for the Democrats is that
since Obama has been successful personally, and Clinton is viewed as likely to win, the
party has moved left in its national ideology. Even though moderately liberal ideas can’t
be enacted in Congress. That’s because Congress looks pretty similar
to the state legislatures chart – and Democrats haven’t been weaker in congress since 1949. So policies that are even more left wing aren’t
likely to help more Democrats win in the House or states. It’s true that Donald Trump’s unpopularity
could pull down Republican candidates across the board. But Democrats counting on that to rebuild
the party need to consider that the bulk of Governors and other statewide elected officials
won’t be on the ballot until 2018. Democrats are notoriously bad at getting their
base to turn out for midterm elections. And Hillary Clinton isn’t viewed that popularly
herself, so by 2018 Republicans might have an unpopular president to run against. So while Democrats seem pretty good at winning
presidential elections, they’re realistically not going to keep that streak up forever. When they do lose the presidency, Democrats
are going to find that, unlike Republicans, they have almost nothing to fall back on.

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Comments

  1. Hillary Clinton turn her back on all black people and imported immigrants to take over their jobs in America. This is already happened Democrats and Obama back her up 100% period support American veterans

  2. The Democratic Party was hijacked by socialists back when Woodrow Wilson was in office. FDR was an obvious socialist. I hope the Democrats are finished for good.

  3. Trump winning then, may end up being good for democrats. 2018 will be a pro-democratic wave year, democratic governors will play a role in the 2020 redistricting. If the wave continues to 2020, we may see democratic administered redistricting. I'm not too fond of that because parties generally ignore the people when they are safe in power, but it is something.

  4. The Democratic Party: Invest 1.4 billion dollars into hillary's campaign they said, there's no way she can lose they said.

  5. I think the more pressing issue is that the current US government doesn't at all reflect actual popular opinion. This speaks poorly of our election system and many changes must be adopted. I'm not just talking about the electoral college. Congress' approval rating has been very low for a while now. A 16% approval rating (about where it hangs out now) is not normal or adequate in a functional democracy.

  6. I was a democrat for 20 years then I switch after this election I did not like Bernie or Hilary and yes I voted for trump and I am proud to say it.

  7. No, no, no, this is always what happens when a president in one party is there for some time, happened with bush

  8. 2:31 This is completely wrong. Studies show America wants liberal economic policies: min wage raise, universal child health coverage, equal pay, etc. Democrats LOSE when they try to be centrists. Look no further than 2016.

  9. The Democratic Party is still the real racist party: rather than enslave black people through, well, slavery, they want to re-enslave black people through heavy reliance on social programs. And they call Republicans racist, even though ACTUAL KKK MEMBERS have served as Democrats (Robert Byrd, anyone?).

  10. The American division in my opinion began in 2007 where the elections divided America, this Clinton trump election truly divided it even more

  11. We a leader that has the balls to bring order in this country, we need someone brave enough to bring order, just like Teddy Roosevelt who ended the monopolies with no fear.

  12. Betting half a buck the democratic party will be the third party instead of second
    LIBERTARIANISM SHALL RISE

  13. The Democrat party is in shambles because you cant offer free things just for votes. Voters who vote for them, will always ask for more. The Dems over promise and under deliver.

  14. The Democratic Party just isn't getting that much advertising as the Republican. As a person that's into memes, you would know what I am talking about. sheesh…

  15. dems are more left wing on social issues, and less left wing on economic ones (compared to the new deal era that is, when Dems had there largest majorites), most of them are just neoliberal coperate shills, with lip service to minorites and less backward social views.

  16. it was Clintonism that destroyed the democratic party. if dems wanted to win they would need to go back to there new deal origins.

  17. Well we now know that the presidency will not stay democratic and your militant liberal agenda destroyed a party I supported for decades… congratulations retards

  18. .https://shiarafidit.jimdo.com read it if you want paradise.TRUMP'S AGENT ASKED THE WOMEN TO DIRECT ATTANTION TO ROZANA , BECAUSE TRUMP PROVOCATED WAR IN GAZA , HER RELATIVES KNOW IT, SO TRUMP CHEAT, HE LIAR, KUSHNER IS OWNER HOME WITH NAME 666-HELL 7 STEPS. , BECAUSE OF THE TRUMP 100 PERSON LOST JOB IN FILM ROZANA. AND TRUMP CALL THE WOMEN.HE KILL AND ROB OIL IN SURIA AND NO MONEY RECONSTRUCT ECONOMY , WHO SUPORT HIM IS HELLISH BANDIT/ 666 CODED ON 1 $ AND ONE EURO. ASAD IS BETTER THAN 666/ ARABREV WAS BECAUSE 7 TRL $ -SAID TRUMP, USA TERORISTS KILL WHO WAS AGAINST THR REVOLT. TRUMPLOVE JEWS, BUT JEWS DAMN IN BIBLE -MALAHYA,QURAN 4.

  19. Yglesias? Really dude trying to hide your spanish name and make people think your anything other than latino lol

  20. "with its very extreme, very unusual candidate" because he tells the truth he is a racist right wing extremist is what you commies think huh?

  21. Hillery Clinton would have been alot better president than Trump. But Bernie should have been the candidate for the democrats. He would have won and done great things for the working class

  22. Democrats are in trouble because they're in an emotional manic state.They are full of hate and discrimination. And they can't even see it so no chance of healing. They are the blind leading the blind.

  23. Well this actually ended up happening, huh.

    You know, it's a ridiculous idea, knowing that 60% of the country have Left-leaning political perspectives, while 90%+ of the people who run the government have Right-leaning political perspectives.

    Oh yeah, that's right, because they change laws in order to hold onto an absolutist form of political governing power.

    The Democrats could learn a thing or two from the corrupt methodologies of the GOP. You kind of have to play dirty when one party makes it impossible for you to do otherwise and win.

  24. Articles of the Confederacy. We are 50 United nation-states. I am a Michigander. Thomas Jefferson was the man with the plan.

  25. #Republicans WANT TO CRUSH THESE #Midterms hard !! #Trump tax cuts have been working ,..our economy is great so kiss the tax raiser democrats good bye ,..their blue wave is going down the toilet,..lol

  26. Both Major Parties may look they oppose one another on the surface but both are in Deep with the Corporate Interest. The Little Guy is Unrepresented in Secret. They will never say that. It would be A bad idea if they publicly said that.

  27. The reason that we want Hillary Clinton is because we need her to help the USA and Mexico who are trying to get a better life for their children and families

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  29. Identity politics is the biggest problem for the Democrats. You do nothing positive by dividing the world into demographics and pitting them against each other: blacks against whites, women against men…the so-called oppressed against the so-called oppressors. Not only is it destructive, but it contradicts day-to-day reality.

  30. 1:01 Look at this graphic. This shows how Trump won. Clinton won the popular vote, but it was concentrated in a few isolated states. Trump won the most states by a landslide. That's how the Electoral College works. The Electoral College prevents a few large population states from ruling over and against the other states. And that's how it should be. I don't want New York and California to rule over the rest of the country.

  31. Why do we need the democrats again? I mean, I'm not trying to to start a flame war, but if they aren't doing anything good for the country, why does the democrats even exist?

  32. Kinda glosses over the fact that at 1:37 besides the disastrous Nixon presidency republicans have lost considerably less house, senate, state legislatures, and governors than compared to their democratic counterparts which is a bit eye opening. The funny thing is that it shows how disorganized the Obama administration truly was to the Democratic Party as a whole.

  33. They were hoping identity politics could cover up for a lack of a coherent vision to make America better. All their current ideas would, objectively, hurt the country. People wonder why millions of people voted for Obama then Trump. It's because millions of people were disenchanted with Obama's magical candidacy vs his disastrous governing and EXTREMELY dangerous foreign policy and WE decide most elections. Not hyper partisan party-before-country type Republicans and Democrats. If Trump offered no hope, and a murdering monster didnt win the 2016 primaries, we would have a Democrat President and a SCOTUS so left of center that a lot of drastic changes would've occurred in the opposite direction. It will be interesting and a little scary to see what happens after Trump, who already has a top 5 foreign policy of any President. The man is respected by other countries, and that is YUGE.

  34. Thank God, Crooked Hillary didn't win. I was voting for the lesser of two evils and voted for Trump. Now I know… Trump is actually a much better person as POTUS than he was as a private citizen. Donald Trump is the best POTUS in my lifetime, and possibly in history, because of all the lies and fake news he had to put up with… and still, he's making an honest attempt in keeping all of his campaign promises. Trump/Pence 2020.

  35. I guarantee if Trump had stayed a Democrat, Vox would've tried to cover up his past and stated that a White/Orange Man is the reason the Left is in danger.

  36. Apparently the Democrats saw this video and decided to lean even MORE to the extreme left. Moderate liberals are voting Republican in droves but Dems are too busy obsessing over identity labels and Russian collusions to care~

  37. Looking at this now, having Donald Trump win seems to have caused the best thing for the Democratic Party.

  38. Bernie understood this and tried to tell people, but other Democrats attacked him and misrepresented what he said

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